The Earth among stars, its atmosphere shown as swirling water vapour from satellite imagery

Futures is speculation, not prophecy. Near at hand, a changing climate, machines that may come to think, and the choices still open. Beyond that the timescales stop being human — the Sun brightens, the air thins, the seas do not last. What comes after? We could wreck it entirely, or make something better than we deserve. Who knows. It could be anything. The far future is not ours to choose. The near one is.

Theme

Speculation, not prophecy. What comes after could be anything.

What you see

Futures runs from tonight to a billion and a half years ahead, and the further it goes, the less anyone knows. Captions on the walls keep count. The images move from a model of the town as it stands, through the weather we have, to worlds that exist only as calculation.

It opens on Albany now: the town as a model, its buildings raised from their footprints in OpenStreetMap (OpenStreetMap contributors, 2025), seen from the water at dusk between Mt Clarence and Mt Melville.

The present-day town as pale blocks raised from map footprints, between two hills, seen across the water at dusk
2026 · the present-day town, raised from OpenStreetMap footprints

The near future is where speculation is loudest, and the captions say so plainly: the arrival of artificial general intelligence, and then of artificial super intelligence, placed at 2036 and 2042. These are guesses, not forecasts — and they are the part of the future still open to choice. Over the town at night the aurora burns, and the sky fills with the lights of orbiting machines.

The town at night under green aurora, city lights along the shore
2042 · aurora over the town at night

Past a thousand years the captions stop naming events. Patterns persist: the weather shown is today’s — the water vapour of Earth’s atmosphere as the Himawari-9 geostationary satellite sees it, in three infrared bands, a frame every ten minutes (Bessho et al., 2016) — standing in for the weather of ten and a hundred thousand years ahead.

The Earth in darkness, its atmosphere rendered from satellite water-vapour imagery in swirls of grey, white and violet
Ten thousand years on · today’s water vapour, from Himawari-9, standing in for the weather to come

Then the continents move. The globe is the one built for Earth (Composition II), carried forward. At 35 million years ahead it is today’s surface moved on the future branch of the PALEOMAP plate model (Scotese, 2016), Australia pressing into Asia. Beyond a hundred million years that model fails, and the geography becomes published science: Amasia, the next supercontinent — gathering over the Arctic (Mitchell, Kilian & Evans, 2012) or by closing the Pacific (Huang, Li & Zhang, 2022) — its land and sea floor taken from climate simulations of Earth’s next supercontinent (Way et al., 2021). That grid is coarse, about 500 kilometres a cell; the fine grain of ridges and coastlines is borrowed from the Earth we have. Cloud, haze and night-side city lights are graded against a photograph of the whole Earth taken from deep space by NASA’s EPIC camera.

Three globes: a single vast continent of desert and mountain seen from three sides, with open ocean on the far side
About 200 million years ahead · Amasia, the next supercontinent, from three sides

The Sun decides the rest. It does not swell — not for billions of years — but it brightens, slowly, as it ages. A warmer world weathers its rocks faster: rain carries carbon dioxide into silicate rock, and the carbon is washed to the sea and buried there as carbonate, drawn out of the air faster than volcanoes return it. In time the air holds too little carbon dioxide for photosynthesis, and plants starve in a world that is still wet — about a billion years from now in the classic account (Caldeira & Kasting, 1992). Recent models revise that: if weathering proves less sensitive to heat, or slows as the carbon runs low, the drawdown stalls and plants may hold on for 1.6 to 1.9 billion years, until heat rather than hunger ends them (Graham, Halevy & Abbot, 2024; Zhu, Graham & Abbot, 2026). The oceans go as the hotter air fills with water vapour and loses it to space (Wolf & Toon, 2015). The figures are still being argued, and revised.

The last image is the Earth a billion and a half years ahead, its seas gone, the Sun rising over its dark edge — composed after the opening of 2001: A Space Odyssey.

The dark limb of a sea-less Earth against black space, the Sun just cresting it in an orange glow
1.5 billion years ahead · the seas have gone; the Sun rises over the Earth’s dark edge

Sources

Numen is an artwork. Most of its imagery is original; some is derived from the scientific data, simulations and images credited above, transformed into new work. We have tried to identify and credit every source. If you believe something has not been credited properly, please get in touch.